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Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 8:46 pm
by Rob Lane
Okay guys!

As I said on the Kickstarter comments, something fun would be a sweepstake for how much we'll get in the first day of the next Kickstarter. So please post your answers here!

The rules are very simple.

1) Guess how much we'll get in the first 24 hours (exactly) of the next Kickstarter.

2) The person who guesses the closest gets £20 on their Moneyback!

3) Guesses must be entered here before the next Kickstarter begins.

So, get posting!

Cheers

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 8:48 pm
by Rick_Boer
32.640

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 8:49 pm
by AndyS
I'll stick with £26,666.

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 8:54 pm
by testicleez
25001 pounds first 24 hours

For kicks, total backers will be 800 and total pledge will be 225k pounds

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 8:55 pm
by Valiant
£35049

:)

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 9:26 pm
by HORNET6960
£37,570

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 9:31 pm
by zedmeister
I'll go lower at £22,500 as it seems £25K has been taken! Hope it'll go higher...

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 9:58 pm
by AndyP
I'll go for £28,500

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 10:13 pm
by OrlandotheTech
£19,800

(we're all spending so much on KS 1 it will take a while for us to dig up the full amount of cash for KS 2)

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 11:11 pm
by warchild40k
38,250

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 1:54 am
by Mahrdol
22,222

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:12 am
by Quuids
17857 is my guess

I'm hoping its actually over 100k in 24 hours!

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 5:17 am
by hdma
30000£ is my guess

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 6:53 am
by JanSyr
33,4899 Gold ounces = 30099 GBP

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 8:36 am
by Picklechu
£14,000

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 9:19 am
by silverear
I guess £35.432

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 12:04 pm
by Azhrarn
My guess would be 45000 pounds for the first 24 hours.
We'd hit that if most of the current backers pledge 100 pounds, something that does not seem unlikely at all. :mrgreen:
We probably won't blow up as big as some of the CMON kickstarters (being in pounds really slows it down), but you've proven your commitment and ability to deliver on the expectations and then some, so we'll probably get a lot more backers this time around.

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 12:18 pm
by razormage
I'm going to go with 48,227 based on statistical analysis of Day 1 performances on second Kickstarters by miniatures manufacturers or first kickstarters by existing manufacturers with good reputations, and my own rectally-produced estimate of how much the project is going to bring in. @MM: No sweepstake for guessing the final price? Too easy for us to manipulate on the last day?

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 12:47 pm
by fluffystuff
Hi everyone, first post for me. I unfortunatly missed out on the first KS, but I love the models and bought a few from the store. My prediction is £75,000 in the first 24hrs, based on 500 backers pledging £150 each and I wouldn't be surprised if it exceeded this figure based on feedback around on other forums. I keep and eye on the KS page for info and news, but obviously can't post on there because I'm not a backer. Can't wait for you to start KS #2, and keep up the good work with your fantastic game and models.

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 1:42 pm
by Lesrac
£50'000

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 1:49 pm
by Crolador
£21300

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 1:57 pm
by ApollyonJJ
My guess is 41950 GBP.

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 7:54 pm
by Slinky
£74,000 8-)

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 9:49 pm
by mannyuk99
£27,384.33

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:06 pm
by Nergal
50.000

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:09 pm
by Nergal
Sorry, 50k is already taken, forget my first post. I will go for 62.500£.

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Thu Sep 05, 2013 6:20 pm
by Primono
42.888

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Fri Sep 06, 2013 10:22 am
by Funkychef
As my thoughts of £50k have already been taken I think I'll go for £48,500

OUt of interest, what sort of time of day are we looking at for the start time?

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Fri Sep 06, 2013 2:37 pm
by SteamHammer
18500

Hopefully my low bet will force the universe to make it the most successful kickstarter ever!

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Fri Sep 06, 2013 11:48 pm
by Agelmar
I'm quite optimistic so I'll say 100,000.

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Sat Sep 07, 2013 7:39 pm
by Manners
£51253

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Sun Sep 08, 2013 6:17 am
by Endor
My guess is £37500. But I hope it goes higher :)

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Sun Sep 08, 2013 8:51 am
by Nurgle
44223

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2013 3:32 am
by Lochlannon
34402

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2013 6:58 pm
by judgedoug
£56220

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 11, 2013 3:28 pm
by Ulgurstasta
I'm gonna one-up you Agelmar and go for 101,000£ 8-)

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 11, 2013 8:54 pm
by Dan d'Lyon
I'm going to go with £27,341 for first 24 hours. Overall? I'll say £221,387.

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Thu Sep 12, 2013 5:03 am
by doodlekid00
23450

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Sat Sep 14, 2013 8:09 pm
by EVL HMR
28,650.00

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Sun Sep 15, 2013 12:14 pm
by JLLongshore
27,999 GBP, I'll say we top 325 GBP for the final

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 18, 2013 11:16 am
by Klararren
39500

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Wed Sep 18, 2013 11:59 am
by Gruulgor
£26.855

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:12 pm
by Aniku
53.000 Gbp for me...

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Fri Sep 20, 2013 9:52 pm
by DeChevalier
I'll say 48,336

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 9:45 am
by grefven
My guess is 18,150.

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 4:19 pm
by Brad
I guess 17500 :)

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 10:41 pm
by beefknee
I'm going for £13,000 but I hope it is much much higher

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 10:40 am
by sawbones
my guess: 23869 pounds

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 12:32 pm
by razormage
So, up to this point, we have:

Code: Select all

beefknee       £13,000.00
Picklechu      £14,000.00
Brad           £17,500.00
Quuids         £17,857.00
grefven        £18,150.00
SteamHammer    £18,500.00
OrlandotheTech £19,800.00
Crolador       £21,300.00
Mahrdol        £22,222.00
zedmeister     £22,500.00
doodlekid00    £23,450.00
sawbones       £23,869.00
testicleez     £25,001.00
AndyS          £26,666.00
Gruulgor       £26,855.00
Dan d'Lyon     £27,341.00
mannyuk99      £27,384.33
JLLongshore    £27,999.00
AndyP          £28,500.00
EVL HMR        £28,650.00
hdma           £30,000.00
JanSyr         £30,099.00
Rick_Boer      £32,640.00
Lochlannon     £34,402.00
Valiant        £35,049.00
silverear      £35,432.00
Endor          £37,500.00
HORNET6960     £37,570.00
warchild40k    £38,250.00
Klararren      £39,500.00
ApollyonJJ     £41,950.00
Primono        £42,888.00
Nurgle         £44,223.00
Azharn         £45,000.00
razormage      £48,227.00
Dechevalier    £48,336.00
Funkychef      £48,500.00
Lesrac         £50,000.00
Manners        £51,253.00
Aniku          £53,000.00
judgedoug      £56,220.00
Nergal         £62,500.00
Slinky         £74,000.00
fluffystuff    £75,000.00
Agelmar        £100,000.00
Ulgurstasta    £101,000.00

[Edit: Easier to read]

Re: Sweepstake for KS2

Posted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 6:25 pm
by Slinky
25 mins in, and the first 2 on the list are out already :lol: